Samuel Case, FISM News

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In the latest update to President Joe Biden’s collapsing polling numbers, a new survey out of Emerson College found that in a rematch against Donald Trump, Biden would lose the suburban vote by a significant margin – a demographic that was key to Biden’s victory in 2020. 

Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of the Emerson College Poll said the survey revealed that “Trump leads Biden among both suburban voters, 47% to 38%, and rural voters, 59% to 35%,” however Biden retains an impressive lead in urban areas: 59% to 35%. 

Overall Trump holds a 12% favorability advantage over Biden: “59% of voters say they are somewhat or very favorable of Trump, compared with 47% who are somewhat or very favorable of Biden.” Emerson found that in a hypothetical 2024 rematch Trump would beat Biden 45% to 42%. 

Kimball observed that Biden is particularly struggling with the independent vote. “Biden struggles among Independent voters: just 28% approve of the job he is doing, while 64% disapprove,” he said. He also noted the significant down-ballot effect in 2022: “Independents break 28% for Democrats, 42% with Republicans, and 31% are undecided.”

FISM News previously reported on party concerns that Biden’s tanking polling numbers will severely hamper any chances of a Democrat victory in the midterms.

“It’s bad,” an anonymous Democratic strategist told The Hill.  “Everyone needs to come to terms with the reality that we’re going to get slaughtered in November,” the strategist said. “That’s a fact. [Biden’s] polling has gotten worse, not better. It’s indicative of the fact that people have lost confidence in his leadership. There’s nothing they’re going to be able to do.”